LEAP is proud to announce that we will be holding our first ever Euro-BRICS Youth Webinar on Political Anticipation! Next Monday, a group of experts and youth from all over Europe and the BRICS countries will discuss LEAP’s principle method. This is the first one of a series of three ...

Our team has chosen to place 2016 under the sign of a “general strategic retreat”, affecting all levels of social organization, starting of course with the national levels, but not only. This retreat (or fallback) will not yet represent in 2016 the end of the global mobility, of the international ...

After an unbelievably long period of hectic growth the Chinese economy has begun to slow down. While the high growth phase was characterised by remarkable stability, the phase of slower growth, if the present crisis is any indication, is likely to be more turbulent. Slow riding an economy is much ...

Here it comes, rising slowly, the « vile beast »[1]. A long time ago, in 1998, Franck Biancheri, our regretfully departed director of studies, signed an anticipatory article entitled: « 2009, when Europe ends up in the hands of the grandsons of Hitler, Pétain, Mussolini… »[2] This is the fate ...

Dear Subscriber, Here we are, counting 100 editions of our bulletin and 10 years of an incredible GEAB adventure. Let me tell you this story: The GEAB was born in January, 2006, out of a fierce desire of independence for our think-tank, LEAP : an intellectual independence, essential to the ...

Current times requires a welcoming instead of a blocking strategy of the multipolar world. The global systemic crisis is in itself a feature of the transition from a bi/unipolar to a multi-polar world. Can we foresee historical events like this and being prepared in advance? Political anticipation is a must…to ...

LEAP’s method of political anticipation, invented by Franck Biancheri, and applied every month in the GEAB, is honoured to have been invited to contribute a 20-page chapter in an international scientific publication on Cognitive Systems entitled « Anticipation across disciplines » edited by world famous anticipation expert, Prof Mihai Nadin ...

This project is very important to LEAP which organised the first edition in Helsinki last June and to this world … as it is being driven into hell by our decision makers’ limited capacity to influence anything on the global stage. With internet and globalisation, we are de facto embarked ...

All crises which have crossed Europe since 2008-2009 have had two characteristics: – they come from the outside; – they all reveal Europe’s structural weakness. On this very last point, Franck Biancheri had, however, spent over 25 years working closely with the European and national institutions, alerting them based on ...

As much in its economic as political dimension, the systemic crisis which the West in general and Europe in particular is going through is rooted in a huge crisis of taxation: states are no longer able to collect taxes efficiently and fairly. It is a case of reality at work ...

We have repeatedly analyzed that only the regional powers would be able to restore calm in the Middle East and resolve the Daesh issue, the common enemy on which (almost) everyone has agreed. However, we have stated that the US or Russian interventions would only have the effect of exacerbating ...

We believe that India should profit from a window of opportunity in 2016 which would enable it to be a positive catalyst in the transition towards a multi-polar world. The central argument is as follows: in 2016 India will combine the characteristics which should enable it to interconnect with two ...

The 5th Euro-BRICS seminar and the Euro-BRICS Young Leaders’ Summit took place in Helsinki last June 8-9. The event has been an amazing success, with more than 110 young leaders and experts from European and BRICS countries discovering each other and discussing the challenges of the the XXIst century multipolar ...

In the face of some rather worrying indicators in recent months, we have got to the point of asking ourselves the question of the likelihood of a return of European wars looking out to 2020. Actually, it’s not because our team continues to see the crisis’ exit tracks falling into place, ...

A few days before the first « Euro-BRICS Young Leaders’ Summit », we are proud to present this first concrete outcome of the event: our booklet, presenting clearly the concept, partners, organisers, programme and participants converging in Helsinki on June 8-9 (and more as you will see). This document is already the ...

For the fourth consecutive month, accompanied by all the usual precautions, our team continues to believe that the crisis’ peak is now behind us. It’s clear that two photos taken five minutes before and five minutes after this peak can be identical. On the other hand the film isn’t comparable; ...

We could have also headed our article : “No, the inflating of the Chinese stock exchanges isn’t a bubble”. The Shanghai stock exchange’s exuberant 100% increase in one year is certainly frightening, but it reflects a real dynamic (or rather a correction) of the country’s economic development. One really has ...

In the chaos that characterizes any crisis, explanations increase as so many attempts to impose their vision of the world where the stake is world domination. The chaotic “gap[1] » opened by a crisis is also a narrative war zone whose winners will be either the strongest (for a short period ...

Actually within BRICS countries strategic importance is placed on mutual economic developments. Special role in this processes is played by banks. There is no denying the fact, that effective banking strategy depends on accurate assessment of  common problems and a search for mutual solutions to increase quality of life in ...

The terrible 2014 Ukrainian crisis should be understood as an absolute limit beyond which the “world before” disappears no matter what. It will either disappear in the chaos and radicalization of the system which, in doing so, will cease to be itself, or it will disappear by opening up to ...

Our team had anticipated that the explosion of tensions in the Middle East would have a rapid impact on European societies, bringing great risks to our democracies. The European crisis, as we have often said, well beyond the intrinsic value of the individuals who compose it, has revealed a structural ...

Brussels (Aloft Brussels Schuman hotel), January 9th, 2015 Organized by Laboratoire Européen d’Anticipation Politique (LEAP/E2020) in partnership with Association des Amis de Franck Biancheri (AAFB)   Programme: Friday, January 9th, 2014 – 8.00-13.00 In camera” debates moderated by Marie-Hélène Caillol and Harald Greib Work session performed in French and English, ...

We have the privilege and pleasure to officially announce that, for its 8th birthday, the Global European Anticipation Bulletin is being upgraded and improved with a new format… By adding 4 new languages to the 4 already existing, our newsletter is one of a kind ! A new website in ...

For almost two years, by combining various points of view (speculative, geopolitical, technological, economic, strategic and monetary…), we have continued to anticipate a major crisis in the entire oil sector. Today, no one doubts the fact that we are actually at that point, and the GEAB must therefore anticipate the ...

” The Euro crisis, and more recently the Ukrainian crisis, made it clear that we are facing a severe political vacuum with regard to the European construction. ECB bankers and civil servants from the European Commission and the Member States handled the crisis. From a technical point of view, their ...

– Executive summary – On September 29th, LEAP organized the second Euro-BRICS online discussion on the “The Euro-Russia row as a result of an overlap between two economic unions”. The meeting gathered around 25 participants from the European and BRICS academic and civil fields mostly. This discussion took place in the larger ...

Position paper in advance of the next Euro-BRICS online meeting on Student Mobility in Europe and the BRICS, crossed visions:  Euro-BRICS online meeting, November 25th.  Europe’s advantage in terms of student mobility programmes is that of time and experience. But BRICS’ student mobility is anchored in XXIst century challenges. Crossed visions on this ...

Since 2006, the GEAB has analyzed the development and anticipated the next steps of what our teams have called, from the beginning, a “global systemic crisis”. No one can doubt the fact that we have really been in a “crisis” since 2008. That this “crisis” is “global” is also commonly ...

The crisis of the euro currency has helped deploy the institutional embryo of the Eurozone: from the ECB to the Euro Summit via the Eurogroup, the EU and the Member-States have realized since 2009 that they had omitted to endow the Euroland, this new sovereign who appeared in 2002 in ...

Les derniers chiffres économiques allemands ont tordu le cou au mythe d’une économie allemande qui, soutenue par une politique d’austérité et grâce aux réformes structurelles sous le gouvernement Schröder, allait réaliser une croissance pérenne et montrer le chemin à suivre aux économies fragiles de la zone euro, comme notamment l’Italie, ...