This article was published by our team in October 2015, in a very specific context: the Russian crisis was not solved yet, Syrian trap, Erdogan having political difficulties etc. We can verify today the precision of this anticipation, and more precisely of the possibility of a “coup d’etat”. The other ...

The following is an open letter from Franck Biancheri, Director of studies of LEAP to the G20. Ladies and Gentlemen, Your next summit takes place in a few days in London; but are you aware that you have less than a semester to prevent the world from plunging into a ...

PUBLIC COMMUNIQUE of our monthly bulletin GEAB December, 2016. Subscribe here ! Since November 8, 2016, India has created a monetary revolution of a magnitude never seen, both by the size of the population concerned and the depth of the transformation induced. By demonetising the biggest notes of 500 and 1000 Rs (rupees), the ...

[…] We have portrayed here a quite bleak picture of these beautiful regions of Central and Eastern Europe which unquestionably deserve better than to finish torn apart in the Euro-Russian discord. Our team is convinced that better relations between these two great neighbours, based on the recognition of shared responsibilities ...

It could be said that we’re all accomplices of the so-called “post-truth”, although not to the same extent. But, what is the post-truth? The post-truth refers to circumstances in which emotions and personal beliefs are more determining when shaping public opinion than objective facts. The post-truth is used in the ...

The recent episode of Brexit emphatically highlighted many weaknesses and shortcomings which demonstrate that neither economics nor politics is an exact science – starting with the economic commentators, who, in their vast majority, asserted that the Brexit will not happen, supported in this belief by polls, which also, overwhelmingly, presaged ...

PUBLIC COMMUNIQUE of our monthly bulletin GEAB November, 2016. Subscribe here ! Donald Trump’s victory in the US presidential election creates the conditions for change, but it is not change yet, contrary to what the media and populists believe. Far from being a “revolution”, the Trump’s advent at the head of the Western system ...

The LEAP laboratory conducted an interview with the writer Bruno Marion about his latest book, « Chaos, a User’s Guide ». In what context have you written this book? Humanity is currently experiencing an absolutely incredible transition because of its size and speed. It is high time we design tools to help ...

European Defense: a Challenge for European Democracy – No European army without European Democracy – Lets start with some fundamental thoughts and then go into European politics. An army is a democratic anachronism for two reasons: . can a state based upon democratic values send its sons and nowadays even ...

Some rising powers, including the BRICS states (Brazil, Russia, India, China,and South Africa), have openly contested certain international security norms, for instance challenging the tendency to invoke humanitarian protection to carry out military intervention. However, the relevance of rising powers, and especially coalitions of such states, to specific conflicts remains ...