“It was night, and the rain fell; and, falling, it was rain, but, having fallen, it was blood.” These words of Edgar Allan Poe (1) apply perfectly to the slow process of global dislocation now in progress, where seemingly innocuous events – like the “rain” – combine to undermine the ...

When, in January 2006, the first GEAB issue anticipated the fall of the Dollar wall, the comparison was made between the Berlin Wall and the Iron Curtain which made it possible for the Soviet system to hold up for so long and the Dollar Wall which protects America. But this ...

It’s one of those times when history accelerates. Whatever the outcome of the negotiations on the shutdown and debt ceiling, October 2013 is one of them. It’s the deadlock too far which has opened the eyes of those who still support the United States. A leader is followed when he ...

The impressive facts about the BRICS’ countries GDPs, territories, populations and rates of growth during the last decade or so have been publicized and awed throughout the world community. The so-called emerging giant countries would become leading world economies by 2050 or most probably much earlier than that. What truly ...

{{4th quarter 2009 – Beginning of Phase 5 of the global systemic crisis: phase of global geopolitical dislocation}} Back in February 2006, LEAP/E2020 estimated that the global systemic crisis would unfold in 4 main structural phases: trigger, acceleration, impact and decanting phases. This process enabled us to properly anticipate events ...

{{Global systemic crisis – End of 2008: Pension funds go off the rails }} By the end of 2008, a formidable debacle will affect pension funds all over the world, endangering the entire system of capital-based pensions. This financial calamity will bear a particularly dramatic human dimension because it will ...

{{Global systemic crisis / September 2008 – Phase of collapse of US real economy }} The end of the third quarter of 2008 will be marked by a new tipping point in the unfolding of the global systemic crisis. In the United States, this new tipping point will translate into ...

As LEAP/E2020 often unlined it since January 2006, the global systemic crisis affects all fields and sectors of contemporary human activity. It is in this sense that this crisis differs from a classical crisis limited to this or that sector/region. In this edition of the GlobalEurope Anticipation Bulletin, our team ...

{{2008: Full global impact phase of the Very Great US Depression}} From now to this summer in particular, the financial crisis triggered by the US subprime mortgage loans will turn into a much wider-ranging crisis involving the implosion of the Credit Default Swaps (CDS) market. This will represent a now ...

{{European real estate in 2008: Spain and UK deep into the crisis / Eastern Europe near housing bubble burst}} Before describing the situation in new EU member-states, let’s examine the evolution of two Western European markets which LEAP/E2020 predicted were about to decline, i.e. Spain and UK… (page 2) (Learn ...