Since 2006, the GEAB has analyzed the development and anticipated the next steps of what our teams have called, from the beginning, a “global systemic crisis”. No one can doubt the fact that we have really been in a “crisis” since 2008. That this “crisis” is “global” is also commonly ...
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Global systemic crisis – 2015: The world is defecting to the East
Two important facts emerge from the past four weeks’ news. First, China is becoming the world’s largest economic power, officially overtaking the US, based on GDP measured in purchasing power terms (IMF figures) of $17.61 trillion (compared to $17.4 trillion for the US). If the official media hasn’t raised the ...
Read More »Europe 2020 – Community or empire?
This title is inspired by Franck Biancheri first book (unpublished) written in 1992 and in which the author showed that the founding principles of the European project conceived at the end of the Second World War (a community of countries giving themselves the means to jointly build a lasting peace ...
Read More »Global systemic crisis – The Major Global Geopolitical Reconfiguration
Last month our team anticipated that the Ukrainian crisis would provide the conditions for a jolt [1]. Due to lack of space and because this jolt is much more evident in the rest of the world, we tried to identify the reasons for this jolt to only from a European ...
Read More »Euroland facing a Dollar collapse, by Franck Biancheri (February 15, 2006, excerpt GEAB N°2)
The crisis anticipated for the end of March 2006 will provide a serious test for Euroland and will determine whether the Euro is sustainable or not. The significant fall of the Dollar will automatically induce a strong upward pressure on the Euro against this currency, and against others linked to ...
Read More »Global systemic crisis – Escalation in the US reaction for survival: trigger a cold war to make it easier to annex Europe
When, in November 2013, Russia asked the EU for tripartite negotiations on the Ukraine’s free trade agreements with its two neighbours in order to find areas of common ground for all parties directly concerned (1), what was at stake was stability, integrity and independence for the Ukraine and that it ...
Read More »World political chaos, statistical « smog », risk that the financial planet explodes… But solutions for the future continue to emerge (GEAB N°81)
Historians, who usually consider that the 19th century runs from 1815 (Waterloo) to 1914 (the First World War) would certainly define the 20th century by the period 1914-2014, ending with the year in which the old system dies whilst a new one emerges. In this New Year 2014 welcome, then, ...
Read More »Russia and Euroland: Two key players in the centre of the global stage 2011-2014 (GEAB excerpt)
The global systemic crisis increasingly conditions relations between the major global players, relativizing the bilateral aspects of their interactions by placing them in the broader context of the search for new global balances. Thus each day, for the leaders of the major powers, the central question becomes less the positioning ...
Read More »Currencies, geopolitics, real estate, finance… 2014: the « big American retreat »
… But 2014 will experience a dramatic acceleration of this profound trend thanks to the convergence of several factors: loss of control of the world by the United States, the end of desperate rescue methods (mainly quantitative easing), a new implosion of the real estate market… Not forgetting the groundswell ...
Read More »BoJ, Fed, ECB : with different methods, contrasting futures (Excerpt GEAB N°75, May 2013)
As we see on a daily basis, central banks play a major role in the crisis’ management. In order to see the unfolding of the global systemic crisis more clearly, we must understand how they act, the limits, the advantages, and disadvantages of their interventions. We have therefore decided to ...
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