All crises which have crossed Europe since 2008-2009 have had two characteristics: – they come from the outside; – they all reveal Europe’s structural weakness. On this very last point, Franck Biancheri had, however, spent over 25 years working closely with the European and national institutions, alerting them based on ...

As much in its economic as political dimension, the systemic crisis which the West in general and Europe in particular is going through is rooted in a huge crisis of taxation: states are no longer able to collect taxes efficiently and fairly. It is a case of reality at work ...

We have repeatedly analyzed that only the regional powers would be able to restore calm in the Middle East and resolve the Daesh issue, the common enemy on which (almost) everyone has agreed. However, we have stated that the US or Russian interventions would only have the effect of exacerbating ...

In the face of some rather worrying indicators in recent months, we have got to the point of asking ourselves the question of the likelihood of a return of European wars looking out to 2020. Actually, it’s not because our team continues to see the crisis’ exit tracks falling into place, ...

For the fourth consecutive month, accompanied by all the usual precautions, our team continues to believe that the crisis’ peak is now behind us. It’s clear that two photos taken five minutes before and five minutes after this peak can be identical. On the other hand the film isn’t comparable; ...

We could have also headed our article : “No, the inflating of the Chinese stock exchanges isn’t a bubble”. The Shanghai stock exchange’s exuberant 100% increase in one year is certainly frightening, but it reflects a real dynamic (or rather a correction) of the country’s economic development. One really has ...

In the chaos that characterizes any crisis, explanations increase as so many attempts to impose their vision of the world where the stake is world domination. The chaotic “gap[1] » opened by a crisis is also a narrative war zone whose winners will be either the strongest (for a short period ...

Our team had anticipated that the explosion of tensions in the Middle East would have a rapid impact on European societies, bringing great risks to our democracies. The European crisis, as we have often said, well beyond the intrinsic value of the individuals who compose it, has revealed a structural ...

We have the privilege and pleasure to officially announce that, for its 8th birthday, the Global European Anticipation Bulletin is being upgraded and improved with a new format… By adding 4 new languages to the 4 already existing, our newsletter is one of a kind ! A new website in ...

For almost two years, by combining various points of view (speculative, geopolitical, technological, economic, strategic and monetary…), we have continued to anticipate a major crisis in the entire oil sector. Today, no one doubts the fact that we are actually at that point, and the GEAB must therefore anticipate the ...