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Tag Archives: europe

January GEAB – A landscape of the world in 2020

Like every January for the past 14 years, this month the GEAB outlines the landscape of the year that we are all about to navigate. Structuring trends, 32 key trends, a calendar of the year’s major dates and a round-the-world tour of the continents/regions risks make up this issue designed ...

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May GEAB – Europe/World : Transfigurations

New world, new Europe, new faces. Since 2006, the GEAB anticipates the different steps of the global systemic transformation. Concerning Europe, the tipping point is this year, with the European election for catalyst. But with Europe tipping into a new era, the face of the world is about to change. ...

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March GEAB : 2019, a year for history books!

Latent financial crisis; invention of a new world monetary system; China and the US world sharing; American military withdrawal; European dislocation; civil wars and border tensions; reorganisation of the world map; … we do not know where to look first when speaking of the gigantic global reshuffle which is underway. ...

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December GEAB – Europe over troubled waters

With the European elections just around the corner, the last pillar of the ‘twentieth century model’ of European construction has just fallen victim to a French people voicing their anger over the socially unbearable nature of compliance with European rules. France, aware of its inability to carry the old European ...

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United Kingdom 2019: What if Brexit proved to be a success story?

PUBLIC Announcement of our monthly bulletin GEAB (March 2018). Register here ! So far, the media and political analysts have been unanimous: Brexit represents an uncertain and dangerous future only for the UK. Our readers know that we have always been more circumspect about this. Now that the first phase of negotiations has been ...

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Comments on a proposed “Treaty for the Democratisation of the Eurozone” by Thomas Piketty and Friends (Christel Hahn)

Piketty’s “Pour un traité de démocratisation de l’Europe”, which is available in french since March, has just been released in german as „Für ein anderes Europa“ (for a different Europe). The subtitle of the german book clarifies, that the book presents a „Treaty for the Democratisation of the Eurozone“1, a very specific project, which ...

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Global Systemic Crisis 2017-2021 – A phase of chaotic recomposition of the World: national re-landing, crash or rebound?

PUBLIC REVIEW of our monthly bulletin GEAB (April, 2017). Subscribe here ! This expression “chaotic recomposition” seems best to summarise the phase where we currently are with regards to the development of the crisis, a step indicated here as extending over four years and which will include distinct progression phases. It is quite clear ...

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The military or Erdogan, again (Excerpt GEAB October 2015)

This article was published by our team in October 2015, in a very specific context: the Russian crisis was not solved yet, Syrian trap, Erdogan having political difficulties etc. We can verify today the precision of this anticipation, and more precisely of the possibility of a “coup d’etat”. The other ...

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The Lessons from Brexit (by Henri de Courtivron)

The recent episode of Brexit emphatically highlighted many weaknesses and shortcomings which demonstrate that neither economics nor politics is an exact science – starting with the economic commentators, who, in their vast majority, asserted that the Brexit will not happen, supported in this belief by polls, which also, overwhelmingly, presaged ...

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Angry nations, democratic challenges, global systemic crisis – Balkanization and returning empires in Central and Eastern Europe: the drama of the failure of European integration and of the Euro-Russian crisis

In 2014, our team anticipated the disintegration of the Eastern European flank following the conflict between the EU and Russia. Two years later, the damage has become visible.  If Europe and Russia fail to renew any dialogue, the worst is yet to come in this part of Europe, a region ...

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