Here it comes, rising slowly, the « vile beast »[1]. A long time ago, in 1998, Franck Biancheri, our regretfully departed director of studies, signed an anticipatory article entitled: « 2009, when Europe ends up in the hands of the grandsons of Hitler, Pétain, Mussolini… »[2] This is the fate ...
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Euro-BRICS Youth launch their Summit’s crowd-funding campaign
This project is very important to LEAP which organised the first edition in Helsinki last June and to this world … as it is being driven into hell by our decision makers’ limited capacity to influence anything on the global stage. With internet and globalisation, we are de facto embarked ...
Read More »Turkish Elections – The impossibility of chaos in Turkey (Announcement GEAB N°98)
We have repeatedly analyzed that only the regional powers would be able to restore calm in the Middle East and resolve the Daesh issue, the common enemy on which (almost) everyone has agreed. However, we have stated that the US or Russian interventions would only have the effect of exacerbating ...
Read More »2016 : The year of India… and the last chance for an organized systemic global transition
We believe that India should profit from a window of opportunity in 2016 which would enable it to be a positive catalyst in the transition towards a multi-polar world. The central argument is as follows: in 2016 India will combine the characteristics which should enable it to interconnect with two ...
Read More »NATO, the IMF, divisions, Grexit… Looking out to 2020: the return of European wars ?
In the face of some rather worrying indicators in recent months, we have got to the point of asking ourselves the question of the likelihood of a return of European wars looking out to 2020. Actually, it’s not because our team continues to see the crisis’ exit tracks falling into place, ...
Read More »EU/UK/US – Union, Dislocation, Reinvention: The Great Systemic Transformation of the West (GEAB N°95)
For the fourth consecutive month, accompanied by all the usual precautions, our team continues to believe that the crisis’ peak is now behind us. It’s clear that two photos taken five minutes before and five minutes after this peak can be identical. On the other hand the film isn’t comparable; ...
Read More »2015 – The global crash won’t happen (GEAB N°94)
We could have also headed our article : “No, the inflating of the Chinese stock exchanges isn’t a bubble”. The Shanghai stock exchange’s exuberant 100% increase in one year is certainly frightening, but it reflects a real dynamic (or rather a correction) of the country’s economic development. One really has ...
Read More »First half of 2015 – Oil, the Middle East, Charlie Hebdo… Last resilience tests of the Western “model”: commit suicide or adapt
Our team had anticipated that the explosion of tensions in the Middle East would have a rapid impact on European societies, bringing great risks to our democracies. The European crisis, as we have often said, well beyond the intrinsic value of the individuals who compose it, has revealed a structural ...
Read More »Global systemic crisis 2015 – Oil, currencies, finance, societies, the Middle East : Massive storm in Westport!
For almost two years, by combining various points of view (speculative, geopolitical, technological, economic, strategic and monetary…), we have continued to anticipate a major crisis in the entire oil sector. Today, no one doubts the fact that we are actually at that point, and the GEAB must therefore anticipate the ...
Read More »Global systemic crisis 2015 – The dynamics of the future distance Europe from the rationale of a Western camp war
Since 2006, the GEAB has analyzed the development and anticipated the next steps of what our teams have called, from the beginning, a “global systemic crisis”. No one can doubt the fact that we have really been in a “crisis” since 2008. That this “crisis” is “global” is also commonly ...
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