Historians, who usually consider that the 19th century runs from 1815 (Waterloo) to 1914 (the First World War) would certainly define the 20th century by the period 1914-2014, ending with the year in which the old system dies whilst a new one emerges. In this New Year 2014 welcome, then, ...

… But 2014 will experience a dramatic acceleration of this profound trend thanks to the convergence of several factors: loss of control of the world by the United States, the end of desperate rescue methods (mainly quantitative easing), a new implosion of the real estate market… Not forgetting the groundswell ...

Next training course : 1st February to 5th April 2014 The European Laboratory of Political Anticipation (LEAP) operates on the base of a novel method of « political anticipation », developed and perfected by Franck Biancheri[1] during 30 years of outstanding experience of European political – associative practice. This method, which emphasises the principles of ...

As we see on a daily basis, central banks play a major role in the crisis’ management. In order to see the unfolding of the global systemic crisis more clearly, we must understand how they act, the limits, the advantages, and disadvantages of their interventions. We have therefore decided to ...

“It was night, and the rain fell; and, falling, it was rain, but, having fallen, it was blood.” These words of Edgar Allan Poe (1) apply perfectly to the slow process of global dislocation now in progress, where seemingly innocuous events – like the “rain” – combine to undermine the ...

When, in January 2006, the first GEAB issue anticipated the fall of the Dollar wall, the comparison was made between the Berlin Wall and the Iron Curtain which made it possible for the Soviet system to hold up for so long and the Dollar Wall which protects America. But this ...

It’s one of those times when history accelerates. Whatever the outcome of the negotiations on the shutdown and debt ceiling, October 2013 is one of them. It’s the deadlock too far which has opened the eyes of those who still support the United States. A leader is followed when he ...

As the debate rages over Manuel Barroso’s renewal at the head of the European Commission, everyone seems to forget that this year is also the 10th anniversary of Santer’s Commission collective resignation on grounds of ill-management and corruption scandals. According to Newropeans, and to all those interested in the progress ...

Sometimes money is compared with the blood of the economy. The credit crisis painfully demonstrated, that the economy depends on a permanent infusion of credits. As soon as the banks deliver a bit less credit, enterprises fail and the mass dismissals succeed each other. We are made to believe, that ...

We Europeans have been, in the XXth century, from East to West of our continent, the actors of dreadful historical tragedies perpetrated in the name of modernity while in fact they were the contemporary expression of the most ancestral archaism. Repression, brutality, manipulation, extermination, conflict, division, terror, arbitrary,… dressed up ...

Political consequences: Towards an aggravation of US leadership weaknesses (leaders facing a loss of legitimacy, economic context of recession, diplomatic deadlock in Iraq/Iran/North Korea…) The recent choice by American voters, who have violently rejected the policy followed for six years, is nothing other than a loud cry for help [1] . ...

Those who use dollars outside the US continuously pay a contribution to the US. It comes in the form of an inflation of 1.25 million dollars per minute. This is the result of the fast increase of the US foreign debt. Half of all US’ imports are simply added to ...

by Pierre Gonod 21/07/2005 This article is a Post-Scriptum under the study of Pierre Gonod “L’hypothèse générale de la Prospective Anthropolitique” (the PAP project) presented at the conference “Intelligence de la Complexité” held in Cerisy from 23 to 30 June 2005. The interested reader may refer to the website www.mcxapc.org ...

by Henri de Courtivron 23/06/2003 Our economy is currently particularly dull and very few are those who can see any prospect of improvement in the near future. One of the reasons possibly explaining this situation is perhaps an unbalanced mix between all the numerous parameters to be taken into account ...

a scenario drawn up by Franck Biancheri for Europe 2020 in November 1998 25/03/2002   «Forecasting is a difficult art, especially when it comes to the future» (Pierre Dac) «Thinking about the future only makes sense if it is aimed at improving one’s thinking about the present and about the ...