Rather than focusing on the immense looming crises linked to the pandemic, the GEAB is taking a step forward and looking at the potential for crises linked to the “innovations” that this Covidian world is fostering outside any global framework, starting with the savage colonisation of space inaugurated by SpaceX, ...

Chaos theory is very useful to bear in mind in times of systemic transition such as the one the world has been going through for the past twenty years or so. In the analysis of this global crisis that has been on us for 14 years, one of the question ...

For the fourth consecutive month, accompanied by all the usual precautions, our team continues to believe that the crisis’ peak is now behind us. It’s clear that two photos taken five minutes before and five minutes after this peak can be identical. On the other hand the film isn’t comparable; ...

Our team had anticipated that the explosion of tensions in the Middle East would have a rapid impact on European societies, bringing great risks to our democracies. The European crisis, as we have often said, well beyond the intrinsic value of the individuals who compose it, has revealed a structural ...

For almost two years, by combining various points of view (speculative, geopolitical, technological, economic, strategic and monetary…), we have continued to anticipate a major crisis in the entire oil sector. Today, no one doubts the fact that we are actually at that point, and the GEAB must therefore anticipate the ...

Since 2006, the GEAB has analyzed the development and anticipated the next steps of what our teams have called, from the beginning, a “global systemic crisis”. No one can doubt the fact that we have really been in a “crisis” since 2008. That this “crisis” is “global” is also commonly ...