The crisis anticipated for the end of March 2006 will provide a serious test for Euroland and will determine whether the Euro is sustainable or not. The significant fall of the Dollar will automatically induce a strong upward pressure on the Euro against this currency, and against others linked to ...

When, in November 2013, Russia asked the EU for tripartite negotiations on the Ukraine’s free trade agreements with its two neighbours in order to find areas of common ground for all parties directly concerned (1), what was at stake was stability, integrity and independence for the Ukraine and that it ...

Historians, who usually consider that the 19th century runs from 1815 (Waterloo) to 1914 (the First World War) would certainly define the 20th century by the period 1914-2014, ending with the year in which the old system dies whilst a new one emerges. In this New Year 2014 welcome, then, ...

The global systemic crisis increasingly conditions relations between the major global players, relativizing the bilateral aspects of their interactions by placing them in the broader context of the search for new global balances. Thus each day, for the leaders of the major powers, the central question becomes less the positioning ...

… But 2014 will experience a dramatic acceleration of this profound trend thanks to the convergence of several factors: loss of control of the world by the United States, the end of desperate rescue methods (mainly quantitative easing), a new implosion of the real estate market… Not forgetting the groundswell ...

As we see on a daily basis, central banks play a major role in the crisis’ management. In order to see the unfolding of the global systemic crisis more clearly, we must understand how they act, the limits, the advantages, and disadvantages of their interventions. We have therefore decided to ...

“It was night, and the rain fell; and, falling, it was rain, but, having fallen, it was blood.” These words of Edgar Allan Poe (1) apply perfectly to the slow process of global dislocation now in progress, where seemingly innocuous events – like the “rain” – combine to undermine the ...

When, in January 2006, the first GEAB issue anticipated the fall of the Dollar wall, the comparison was made between the Berlin Wall and the Iron Curtain which made it possible for the Soviet system to hold up for so long and the Dollar Wall which protects America. But this ...

It’s one of those times when history accelerates. Whatever the outcome of the negotiations on the shutdown and debt ceiling, October 2013 is one of them. It’s the deadlock too far which has opened the eyes of those who still support the United States. A leader is followed when he ...

The impressive facts about the BRICS’ countries GDPs, territories, populations and rates of growth during the last decade or so have been publicized and awed throughout the world community. The so-called emerging giant countries would become leading world economies by 2050 or most probably much earlier than that. What truly ...

{{4th quarter 2009 – Beginning of Phase 5 of the global systemic crisis: phase of global geopolitical dislocation}} Back in February 2006, LEAP/E2020 estimated that the global systemic crisis would unfold in 4 main structural phases: trigger, acceleration, impact and decanting phases. This process enabled us to properly anticipate events ...

{{Global systemic crisis – End of 2008: Pension funds go off the rails }} By the end of 2008, a formidable debacle will affect pension funds all over the world, endangering the entire system of capital-based pensions. This financial calamity will bear a particularly dramatic human dimension because it will ...

{{Global systemic crisis / September 2008 – Phase of collapse of US real economy }} The end of the third quarter of 2008 will be marked by a new tipping point in the unfolding of the global systemic crisis. In the United States, this new tipping point will translate into ...

As LEAP/E2020 often unlined it since January 2006, the global systemic crisis affects all fields and sectors of contemporary human activity. It is in this sense that this crisis differs from a classical crisis limited to this or that sector/region. In this edition of the GlobalEurope Anticipation Bulletin, our team ...

{{2008: Full global impact phase of the Very Great US Depression}} From now to this summer in particular, the financial crisis triggered by the US subprime mortgage loans will turn into a much wider-ranging crisis involving the implosion of the Credit Default Swaps (CDS) market. This will represent a now ...

{{European real estate in 2008: Spain and UK deep into the crisis / Eastern Europe near housing bubble burst}} Before describing the situation in new EU member-states, let’s examine the evolution of two Western European markets which LEAP/E2020 predicted were about to decline, i.e. Spain and UK… (page 2) (Learn ...

{{International banks get dragged into financial crisis’ « black hole »: Four triggering factors of a major financial bankruptcy}} LEAP/E2020 now estimates that at least one large US financial institution (bank, insurance, investment fund) will file for bankruptcy before February 2008, sparking off bankruptcies among a series of other financial ...

{{Seven sequences of the impact phase of the global systemic crisis (2007-2009)}} The magnitude of the first banking financial shock felt last August indicated to our team of researchers that the impact will develop under the form of seven sequences or seven major shocks affecting sometimes specifically the world’s main ...

{{At the heart of the crisis: « The trading of the US debt »}} The main cause to the current systemic crisis is in the United States. This “end of the Western world as we’ve known it since 1945 ” anticipated by LEAP/E2020 in February 2006, is the collapse in ...

{{Global systemic crisis – April 2007: Inflexion point of the phase of impact / US economy enters recession}} In this February issue, LEAP/E2020 details the nature and sequence of ongoing developments meant for all concerned players (currency or financial market operators, investors, international traders, political and economic decisions-makers or analysts) ...

{{Impact phase of the Global Systemic Crisis: Six aspects of America’s « Very Great Depression » }} The year 2007 will witness the sliding of the US into the « Very Great Depression », i.e., the rare historical conjunction of a severe economic depression, a strategic collapse and a major ...