The world is reorganizing, the populist wave has begun to retreat, the world is refocusing West (China) and East (Europe) of the United States, Hong Kong is turning towards China,…. In the short term, the financial crisis of 2020, which is widely anticipated, is likely to hit the IMF hard ...
Read More »Tag Archives: political anticipation
June GEAB – An unsustainable speed of change
This new edition of the GEAB starts by highlighting the resistance to change that has now been added to the process of change itself, in a superb double-bind that’s opened Pandora’s box and is releasing scores of dirty old demons… For the rest, this issue puts into perspective an internet ...
Read More »Political Anticipation: Allow yourself to think of the “other half” of the timeline, by M.-H. Caillol
Article published in May 2014 Political Anticipation is for the future what history is for the past, and in both cases it is about conquest. Conquest over the field of rationality, humanity, intelligence, power, freedom. And the common features between knowledge of the past and knowledge of the future are ...
Read More »Lessons of Political Anticipation : Changing mindsets with regards to the future, by Marie-Hélène Caillol
LEAP’s original method of political anticipation is a lot about pedagogy and changing mindsets. Mindsets in this regard can be changed along the following building-process of future-related awareness: The first teaching it wishes to teach is that the future plays a greater role in our XXIst century than it ever ...
Read More »United Kingdom 2019: What if Brexit proved to be a success story?
PUBLIC Announcement of our monthly bulletin GEAB (March 2018). Register here ! So far, the media and political analysts have been unanimous: Brexit represents an uncertain and dangerous future only for the UK. Our readers know that we have always been more circumspect about this. Now that the first phase of negotiations has been ...
Read More »GlobalEurope Panorama 2018: Inauguration of the “World-after” (5 structuring trends)
PUBLIC REVIEW of our monthly bulletin GEAB (January, 2018). Subscribe here ! Reinforced by the 75% success rate of our 2017 anticipations, our team presents in this January issue of the GEAB, 5 structuring trends and 33 “Up & Down 2018” anticipations. Here are some financial related fragments we selected for you. Many more topics are covered ...
Read More »Petroyuan and Saudi Arabia: From the temptation of the US “Military QE” to the creation of a Middle East 3.0
PUBLIC REVIEW of our monthly bulletin GEAB (November, 2017). Subscribe here ! End 2017/early 2018, all major Western Central Banks will be putting a final stop to the 2008 crisis-related unconventional monetary policies, namely the famous quantitative easing policies (QEs) which enabled to provide liquidity to those banks which saw their mutual confidence for borrowing collapse ...
Read More »Global Systemic Crisis / End of 2017: High turbulence zone! Finance – Freedom – Security – Kaliningrad: Avoid the Third World War now!
PUBLIC REVIEW of our monthly bulletin GEAB (October, 2017). Subscribe here ! More than three years after the Ukraine-related Euro-Russian catastrophe, there is no hope of an end to this crisis. On the contrary, the tension inexorably keeps climbing: Donbass still at war, annexation of Crimea by Russia not recognised by the international community,… ...
Read More »Interview of Marie-Hélène Caillol: Political Anticipation of Global Systemic Crisis (by Hrvoje Moric for Guadalajara Geopolitics Institute)
Guadalajara Geopolitics Institute: “We are speaking with Marie-Hélène Caillol, the co-founder and president of LEAP the European laboratory of political anticipation which publishes the fantastic newsletter GEAB, Global Europe Anticipation Bulletin. Now, LEAP is a rarety in the world of think-tanks because you are independent and as neutral on objectives ...
Read More »Western Systemic Crisis 2017-2019 – The Almighty dollar against the Great Petro-Yuan Temptation
PUBLIC REVIEW of our monthly bulletin GEAB (September, 2017). Subscribe here ! Qatar, North Korea, the Baltic Sea, risk of a World War III… and all the military ranting mentioned in the media lately, are issues going hand in hand with the programmed and imminent advent of the catastrophic scenario for the dollar as ...
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