The current crisis is opening up new horizons that the GEAB will have to understand and describe. It is as if we have arrived at the top of a mountain from which a new landscape is being discovered. But the difficulty at the heart of crises of this magnitude is ...
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June GEAB – An unsustainable speed of change
This new edition of the GEAB starts by highlighting the resistance to change that has now been added to the process of change itself, in a superb double-bind that’s opened Pandora’s box and is releasing scores of dirty old demons… For the rest, this issue puts into perspective an internet ...
Read More »October GEAB – The World at the end of 2018: Amidst bipolar disorder and therapeutic reaction
Following on from the last GEAB by LEAP issue, which anticipated the reinforcement of a new type of transatlantic relationship (based on a ‘New NAFTA’ between the US, Mexico and Canada, something which did not take long to confirm), in this October issue we anticipate an acceleration of the world-transforming ...
Read More »GEAB – The 126th edition of our confidential bulletin has just been released!
Contents developed this month: 2020-2050, the world is at the dawn of an unprecedented wave of development which is poised to sweep over the Middle East, Southeast Asia, the United States, Africa, India and the planet as a whole. The structural bases of this world are now clear: a global ...
Read More »Middle East 2030: Three visions for one region (Excerpt GEAB May 2016)
After Iran and Turkey, a few weeks ago Saudi Arabia presented its “Visions for the future”, and our team considers it important to integrate the strategic developmental plans of the three major Middle East players in its anticipation work. What seems of particular interest to our team is: ₋ on ...
Read More »Petro-Euro, money-debt, banking crisis, real economy: ten years to seal the fate of an economic-financial system
Precisely ten years ago (to the day), in its second bulletin of February 2006[1], warning about the imminent explosion of a «global systemic crisis”, the GEAB based its opinion on the identification of two strong signs: the end of the publication of the M3 money supply indicator[2] (suggesting a start ...
Read More »2016 – Red alert on the dollar, financial crisis, oil, banks… General strategic retreat in the perspective of an imminent “hard landing”
Our team has chosen to place 2016 under the sign of a “general strategic retreat”, affecting all levels of social organization, starting of course with the national levels, but not only. This retreat (or fallback) will not yet represent in 2016 the end of the global mobility, of the international ...
Read More »First half of 2015 – Oil, the Middle East, Charlie Hebdo… Last resilience tests of the Western “model”: commit suicide or adapt
Our team had anticipated that the explosion of tensions in the Middle East would have a rapid impact on European societies, bringing great risks to our democracies. The European crisis, as we have often said, well beyond the intrinsic value of the individuals who compose it, has revealed a structural ...
Read More »Global systemic crisis 2015 – Oil, currencies, finance, societies, the Middle East : Massive storm in Westport!
For almost two years, by combining various points of view (speculative, geopolitical, technological, economic, strategic and monetary…), we have continued to anticipate a major crisis in the entire oil sector. Today, no one doubts the fact that we are actually at that point, and the GEAB must therefore anticipate the ...
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