Precisely ten years ago (to the day), in its second bulletin of February 2006[1], warning about the imminent explosion of a «global systemic crisis”, the GEAB based its opinion on the identification of two strong signs: the end of the publication of the M3 money supply indicator[2] (suggesting a start ...

Our team has chosen to place 2016 under the sign of a “general strategic retreat”, affecting all levels of social organization, starting of course with the national levels, but not only. This retreat (or fallback) will not yet represent in 2016 the end of the global mobility, of the international ...

Current times requires a welcoming instead of a blocking strategy of the multipolar world. The global systemic crisis is in itself a feature of the transition from a bi/unipolar to a multi-polar world. Can we foresee historical events like this and being prepared in advance? Political anticipation is a must…to ...

This project is very important to LEAP which organised the first edition in Helsinki last June and to this world … as it is being driven into hell by our decision makers’ limited capacity to influence anything on the global stage. With internet and globalisation, we are de facto embarked ...

All crises which have crossed Europe since 2008-2009 have had two characteristics: – they come from the outside; – they all reveal Europe’s structural weakness. On this very last point, Franck Biancheri had, however, spent over 25 years working closely with the European and national institutions, alerting them based on ...

As much in its economic as political dimension, the systemic crisis which the West in general and Europe in particular is going through is rooted in a huge crisis of taxation: states are no longer able to collect taxes efficiently and fairly. It is a case of reality at work ...

We have repeatedly analyzed that only the regional powers would be able to restore calm in the Middle East and resolve the Daesh issue, the common enemy on which (almost) everyone has agreed. However, we have stated that the US or Russian interventions would only have the effect of exacerbating ...

We believe that India should profit from a window of opportunity in 2016 which would enable it to be a positive catalyst in the transition towards a multi-polar world. The central argument is as follows: in 2016 India will combine the characteristics which should enable it to interconnect with two ...

In the face of some rather worrying indicators in recent months, we have got to the point of asking ourselves the question of the likelihood of a return of European wars looking out to 2020. Actually, it’s not because our team continues to see the crisis’ exit tracks falling into place, ...

For the fourth consecutive month, accompanied by all the usual precautions, our team continues to believe that the crisis’ peak is now behind us. It’s clear that two photos taken five minutes before and five minutes after this peak can be identical. On the other hand the film isn’t comparable; ...