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organized in partnership with The National Investment Council
Concept
In March 2004 in Warsaw (Foksal Palace) in partnership with the Diplomatic Academy of the Polish Foreign Ministry, Europe 2020 organised a seminar on the future Common EU Policy towards Russia as part of the GlobalEurope 2020 series of anticipation seminars (Invention phase).
This seminar was attended by 75 participants (from 25 different member-states and from the European institutions), including European diplomats (70%), academics and experts. Diplomats from Russia were invited to follow the discussions.
An executive summary from this one-day brain-storming session was sent for approval to all delegates and once validated, it was widely circulated amongst Europe 2020 communication circuits (up to 100,000 weekly recipients from administrations, academia and NGOs throughout the EU).
Because of the original process for the preparation of this paper’s findings, it can be considered as reflecting a Common Vision of the EU’s future relation to Russia, which Europe 2020 wishes to submit to discussion in a Russian context this time.
These main findings consist of 3 key ideas and 2 propositions.
Discussion Paper’s Main Findings
Disclaimer: “The opinions expressed in this document do not necessarily reflect the views of the National Investment Council”
3 Key Ideas
1- Russia is no longer a threat for the EU for the coming decades. It is on a contrary a partner; but a partner which is not a future Member-State, and therefore whose future the EU is not supposed to shape up: Russia will be what the Russians, and not the EU, will want it to be.
2- This partner will be an unpredictable one, because it goes through an uncertain era of political, economic, demographic, social and geopolitical transformation. It will also be an imbalanced partnership due to the fact that Russia needs the EU much more than EU needs Russia (EU-25 : 470 million inhabitants / GDP around 10.000 billion Euro — Russia: 145 million inhabitants / GDP around 400 billion Euro) in terms of both economic development and global governance.
3- Such unpredictability is likely to affect some of the vital interests of the EU, and in particular in 3 fields: EU’s command of its ongoing enlargement process; the stability of EU’s direct Eastern neighbourhood (from Belarus to Caucasus); EU’s energy supply (around 30% of EU-25’s needs).
2 Propositions
1- Given the three previous characteristics, the EU must adopt a proactive policy towards Russia based on 3 strategic axes:
a- An offensive action aimed at promoting values of peace, democracy and human rights within the direct neighbour region located between EU and Russia;
b- A firm policy determining EU-Russian economic, technological and trade co-operation according to Russia’s non-interference inside the EU;
c- An open and responsive attitude towards Russia itself with regard to co-operation in the field of education, training, civil society and common values.
2- The two previous axes should be invented and implemented by the EU, however the third one should include the renovation of the Council of Europe which is the most appropriate institution for a successful EU-Russia co-operation on common values, civil society and EU policies of neighbourhood.
Programme of the Discussion
– Wednesday, October 5th, 2005 – Venue: President Hotel
9.00 – Registration
9.30 Welcome words – Preliminary remarks
Session I: A new European vision of future EU/Russia relations
10.00 – Presentation of the conclusions of the first GlobalEurope 2020 seminar on EU-Russia relations
Mr Franck Biancheri, Director of Research and Strategy of Europe 2020 – European Institute of Political Anticipation
Mr Harald Greib, Vice-President of Europe 2020 – European Institute of Political Anticipation
10.45 – Break
11.00 – Russian perspectives on future EU/Russia relations
Doctor Ruslan S. Grinberg, Director of the Institute of Economics of the Russian Academy of Sciences
Prof. N. P. Smelev, Director of the Institute of Europe of the Russian Academy of Sciences
11.45 – Debate
12.30 – Lunch
Session II: A New Common European Perspective on Global Affairs
13.30 – Presentation of the conclusions of the first GlobalEurope 2020 series of seminars
Mr Franck Biancheri, Director of Research and Strategy of Europe 2020 – European Institute of Political Anticipation
Mr Harald Greib, Vice-President of Europe 2020 – European Institute of Political Anticipation
14.15 – Russian perspectives on future EU global strategies
Prof. Svetlana P.Glinkina, Doctor of economy, Deputy head of the Institute for International Economic studies
Prof. Mark Entin, Director, Institute of European Law, MGIMO, Ministry of Foreign Affairs, Moscow
15.00 – Debate
15.45 – Conclusion
16.30 – Reception at the President Hotel
List of participants
Serguei A. Baev, Vice-president of the Vneshtorgbank
H. E. Mr Andrej Benedejcic, Ambassador of Slovenia to the Russian Federation
Franck Biancheri, Director of Research and Strategy, Europe 2020 – Institut Européen d’Anticipation Politique
Argita Daudze, Counsellor, Deputy Head of Mission, Embassy of Latvia in Russian Federation
Michail G. Deljagin, Director of the Institute of Globalisation Problems
Leonid Alekseevich Dushatin, First Deputy-head of the National Reserve Corporation
Mark Entin, Director, Institute of European Law, MGIMO, Ministry of Foreign Affairs, Moscow
Rafael I. Gimalov, Member of the State Duma (lower chamber of the Russian Parliament)
Prof. Svetlana P.Glinkina, Doctor of economy, Deputy Head of the Institute for International Economic and Political studies
Graça Gonçalves Pereira, Deputy Head, Embassy of Portugal to the Russian Federation
Harald Greib, Vice-President, Europe 2020 – Institut européen d’Anticipation Politique
Doctor Ruslan S. Grinberg, Director of the Institute of Economics of the Russian Academy of Sciences
Vladimir P. Gutnik, Head of the Center of European studies, Institute of World Economy and International relations
HE Mr Justin Harman, Ambassador of Ireland to the Russian Federation
Thomas Henschel, Director of the European School of Governance, Berlin
Boris Vasilievich Ionov, Russian Center for International and Cultural Cooperation (Russian Ministry of Foreign Affairs)
V. A. Karpov, Deputy Head of the trade and economic mission of the Ukrainian, Embassy in Moscow
Mariusz Kazana, Deputy Director, Department of Strategy and Foreign Policy Planning, Ministry of Foreign Affairs, Warsaw
Andrei A. Kokoshin , Head of the State Duma Committee
Päivi Laine, Councellor, Unit for Russia, Ministry for Foreign Affairs, Helsinki
Vasili N. Likhachev, Member of the Council of Federation (upper chamber of the Russian Parliament)
Anna Marra, Financial attachée of the Italian embassy in the Russian Federation, Representative of the Bank of Italia in Moscow
Marek Menkiszak, Centre for Eastern Studies, Warsaw
Philippe Micaelli, Vice-President, Newropeans
Arnoldas Milukas, Ambassador at large, European Union Department, Ministry of Foreign Affairs, Vilnius
Bartosz Musialowicz, National Security Bureau, Warsaw, Poland
Alexander Dmitrievich Nekipelov, Vice-president of the Russian Academy of Sciences
Jaap Ora, Director of the Planning Division in the Planning Department, Estonian Ministry of Foreign Affairs
Irina Orestova, General Director, National Investment Council, Moscow
Nicolai von Shoepff, Chief of Political Department, German Embassy Moscow
Prof. Nikolay P. Shmelev, Director of the Institute of Europe of the Russian Academy of Sciences
Jan Truszczynski, Secretary of State, Ministry of Foreign Affairs, Warsaw
I. I. Veremij, Head of the economic mission of the Ukrainian Embassy in Moscow
Vladimir V. Voloshin, Head of the Center of Industrial Policy, Institute of International Economic and Political Studies, Russian Academy of Sciences
P. Zaharihin, Ministry of economic development and trade of the Russian Federation
Jonjca Zbignev, Polish Embassy in Moscow
There were also representatives of the embassies of Belgium, Estonia, Finland, Germany, Austria
Practical Details
Partner: The National Investment Council
Conditions: Participation in Europe 2020 anticipation seminars is free and by invitation only. Participants are required to cover travel and accommodation expenses. There is a limit in the number of participants.
Media coverage: Journalists are not invited to attend the seminar (“a camera” gathering); however a press-meeting can be proposed to the media after or before the seminar.
Room organisation: Global Europe seminars consist of brain-storming sessions involving formal speakers and participants: . participants are seated around a table (on one or more rows) . 1 microphone for 3 people
Translation: Intra-European sessions are held in French and English without translation Extra-European sessions are held one language only – French or English (unless partner-organisation requires otherwise – extra-costs if any not covered by Europe 2020).
Catering: Participation to the seminar includes a seated lunch. Mid-session coffee-breaks are included too.
Specials : A cocktail is offered to the participants at the President Hotel by the National Investment Council
Web information : http://www.europe2020.org/fr/anticipation/globalII/program2.htm
Venue: The seminar takes place at the President Hotel: 24 B/ Yakimanka, Moscow 103134
Info : http://www.welt.ru/en/hotels/moscow/president-hotel.html
