Since the late 1990s, China’s world expansion has been accelerating, and also extending beyond the geographical borders of Siberia and of the so called Russian Far East. If the western world perceives this Chinese progress in the light of its own standards as a process of “colonization” (an illegal action ...

The political anticipation method applied by the GEAB reveals that long-term trends are strong undercurrents on which short-term trends usually evolve. So, when our team commits to primarily anticipate phases of the crisis on the horizon in several years, it takes into serious consideration these structural macro-trends. For example, the ...

The GEAB, LEAP’s confidential letter is a monthly bulletin available under subscription. Its contents are not made available to the public until three months later. We offer you the access to this exclusive article from March’s bulletin (GEAB n°103). If you want to read our articles in real time, subscribe to the GEAB! ...

In 2014, our team anticipated the disintegration of the Eastern European flank following the conflict between the EU and Russia. Two years later, the damage has become visible.  If Europe and Russia fail to renew any dialogue, the worst is yet to come in this part of Europe, a region ...

The systemic crisis is spreading much faster in the real economy than in 2008-2009. This low dormancy is a sign that the economic protection dikes are severely lowered, the synergies are broken and the common strategies of global resilience have vanished. Within this statistical fog, not even fully lifted yet, ...

We wish to quickly return to one of our “ups and downs” of last month, the one related to Belgium, which, due to the “short note” format in which it was drawn up, was formulated too bluntly to allow people to really understand its core analysis. Our team has long ...

Since 2006, when the GEAB bulletin was launched, our team has placed the emerging multipolar world at the heart of the global systemic crisis. The effects of the growing relativity of the American power were the first visible signs of a vast global reconfiguration. Then, in 2009, with the creation ...

The European Laboratory of Political Anticipation is happy to present you the public review of Its monthly publication GEAB (Global Europe Anticipation Bulletin). For more information on this April 2016 numero, please visit us @ geab.eu  For nearly 10 years now, the global systemic crisis has been composing an impressive symphonic ...

The European Laboratory of Political Anticipation is happy to present you the public review of Its monthly publication GEAB (Global Europe Anticipation Bulletin). For more information on this March 2016 numero, please visit us @ geab.eu  Considering the barrage of change indicators, our GEAB team currently feels like they don’t ...

Precisely ten years ago (to the day), in its second bulletin of February 2006[1], warning about the imminent explosion of a «global systemic crisis”, the GEAB based its opinion on the identification of two strong signs: the end of the publication of the M3 money supply indicator[2] (suggesting a start ...