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GLOBAL SYSTEMIC CRISIS

LEAP and our monthly bulletin GEAB in La Vanguardia!

“The far-right parties won’t reject or give up on Europe, because the EU concentrates the power, they will try to conquer this power […] A social Europe project could unite the transeuropean Left, but such a project is directly opposed to the current ultraliberal ideology of the institutionnal european system ...

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Global Systemic Crisis 2017-2021 – A phase of chaotic recomposition of the World: national re-landing, crash or rebound?

PUBLIC REVIEW of our monthly bulletin GEAB (April, 2017). Subscribe here ! This expression “chaotic recomposition” seems best to summarise the phase where we currently are with regards to the development of the crisis, a step indicated here as extending over four years and which will include distinct progression phases. It is quite clear ...

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Trump’s America: the lifting of the US default taboo

PUBLIC COMMUNIQUE of our monthly bulletin GEAB March, 2017. Subscribe here ! Without Kissinger to negotiate the petrodollar and put the US currency back to the centre of the global game after the shock of Nixon’s announcement in 1971 to halt the convertibility of the dollar to gold, the greenback would never have been ...

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2016-2020 – Birth of global governance alongside the emergence of a new currency: new SDR paves the way to Globalisation and impacts the American dollar (Excerpt GEAB September 2016)

The world has been seeking a substitute for its reliance on the dollar since 2008. The dependency has been so strong, that it has taken almost a decade for a solution to be drafted. Strangely, this solution came from an institution perceived by some as obsolete, until China took the ...

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The military or Erdogan, again (Excerpt GEAB October 2015)

This article was published by our team in October 2015, in a very specific context: the Russian crisis was not solved yet, Syrian trap, Erdogan having political difficulties etc. We can verify today the precision of this anticipation, and more precisely of the possibility of a “coup d’etat”. The other ...

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Open letter to the G20

The following is an open letter from Franck Biancheri, Director of studies of LEAP to the G20. Ladies and Gentlemen, Your next summit takes place in a few days in London; but are you aware that you have less than a semester to prevent the world from plunging into a ...

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Demon-etisation: India opens with a fanfare the ball of the fiscal QEs

PUBLIC COMMUNIQUE of our monthly bulletin GEAB December, 2016. Subscribe here ! Since November 8, 2016, India has created a monetary revolution of a magnitude never seen, both by the size of the population concerned and the depth of the transformation induced. By demonetising the biggest notes of 500 and 1000 Rs (rupees), the ...

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American Election – Brexit – Euroland – TTIP – Turkey – Russian Sanctions: What future is there for the European Commission within the big redefinition of the Transatlantic Relationship?

PUBLIC COMMUNIQUE of our monthly bulletin GEAB September, 2016. Subscribe here ! Since its creation, the Global Europe Anticipation Bulletin has been designed among other things to inform European public opinion and decision makers about the fact that the global geopolitical reconfiguration vitally requires a profound change of the EU. The ...

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Russia-China: Future changes in Siberia

Since the late 1990s, China’s world expansion has been accelerating, and also extending beyond the geographical borders of Siberia and of the so called Russian Far East. If the western world perceives this Chinese progress in the light of its own standards as a process of “colonization” (an illegal action ...

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Angry nations, democratic challenges, global systemic crisis – Balkanization and returning empires in Central and Eastern Europe: the drama of the failure of European integration and of the Euro-Russian crisis

In 2014, our team anticipated the disintegration of the Eastern European flank following the conflict between the EU and Russia. Two years later, the damage has become visible.  If Europe and Russia fail to renew any dialogue, the worst is yet to come in this part of Europe, a region ...

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