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GLOBAL SYSTEMIC CRISIS

September GEAB – Towards a (really) New World Order

The world is reorganizing, the populist wave has begun to retreat, the world is refocusing West (China) and East (Europe) of the United States, Hong Kong is turning towards China,…. In the short term, the financial crisis of 2020, which is widely anticipated, is likely to hit the IMF hard ...

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June GEAB – An unsustainable speed of change

This new edition of the GEAB starts by highlighting the resistance to change that has now been added to the process of change itself, in a superb double-bind that’s opened Pandora’s box and is releasing scores of dirty old demons… For the rest, this issue puts into perspective an internet ...

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May GEAB – Europe/World : Transfigurations

New world, new Europe, new faces. Since 2006, the GEAB anticipates the different steps of the global systemic transformation. Concerning Europe, the tipping point is this year, with the European election for catalyst. But with Europe tipping into a new era, the face of the world is about to change. ...

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April GEAB – Immigration: Uncovering false beliefs

Uncovering false beliefs is one of the missions of the GEAB team. At a time when the European Elections campaign is slowly starting to take off, bringing the migration issue in the forefront, it seems appropriate to take a more detached look at this subject. No, migration flows from Africa ...

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March GEAB : 2019, a year for history books!

Latent financial crisis; invention of a new world monetary system; China and the US world sharing; American military withdrawal; European dislocation; civil wars and border tensions; reorganisation of the world map; … we do not know where to look first when speaking of the gigantic global reshuffle which is underway. ...

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December GEAB – Europe over troubled waters

With the European elections just around the corner, the last pillar of the ‘twentieth century model’ of European construction has just fallen victim to a French people voicing their anger over the socially unbearable nature of compliance with European rules. France, aware of its inability to carry the old European ...

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November GEAB – The Frankensteins of the multipolar world

The millions of dollars dumped in South America by evangelical churches have brought the eighth world economic power (Brazil) into their hands, knowing that the first (the US) is already conquered. In Africa, it is the Pentecostals who spread their hatred of others and try to place their aficionados inside ...

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September GEAB – Transatlantic relatioons / European railways / Institutionalisation of cryptocurrencies: Upgrading Western economies with a view to their return to the global game

The multi-polarisation of the planet is currently going through a bipolarisation phase, something we anticipated in 2009, if Europe could not reposition itself intelligently, taking into account future trends. What, before the summer, was still at the anticipation stage, has now become reality. Having discussed the Middle East issues (without ...

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United Kingdom 2019: What if Brexit proved to be a success story?

PUBLIC Announcement of our monthly bulletin GEAB (March 2018). Register here ! So far, the media and political analysts have been unanimous: Brexit represents an uncertain and dangerous future only for the UK. Our readers know that we have always been more circumspect about this. Now that the first phase of negotiations has been ...

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[Video] European Trade Agreements – 2019: Death of the Swan

Interview: Marie-Hélène Caillol, President of LEAP2020 Brexit seemed to have opened up the long-awaited project of redefining the functioning and objectives of the European machine. But today Brussels prefers to boast about the UK’s difficulties, and, thinking of itself as unavoidable, it is undertaking to unearth all its bottom drawer projects. ...

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US Debt / Inflation: The FED as a support tool for Mr Trump’s objectives

PUBLIC REVIEW of our monthly bulletin GEAB (February, 2018). Subscribe here ! At the beginning of February, the US stock markets, followed by the financial markets of the rest of the world, experienced a violent correction. In two days, the Dow Jones Index erased its January gains and entered a downward spiral. Since then, ...

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Anticipation flashback : Warning, profit taking in sight!

Anticipation flashback ! We were right! The market places are facing several disruptions since the beginning of the week. We announced an anticipation of a possibility of profit-taking  due to the rise of the benchmark stock market index. Today, the Dow Jones is collapsing. The CAC40 dropped bellow the value ...

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A piece of advice to the African Development Bank: Tempering the economic option of the “all-infrastructure”

Source: www.pouvoirsafrique.com, by Magaye Gaye, Economic Consultant, President of the Senegalese Political Party “La Troisième voie” On the side of the presentation of the report on Africa’s economic perspectives in 2018, the president of the African Development Bank (AfDB) announced that the Bank would organise the “Invest in Africa forum” on November ...

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Petroyuan and Saudi Arabia: From the temptation of the US “Military QE” to the creation of a Middle East 3.0

PUBLIC REVIEW of our monthly bulletin GEAB (November, 2017). Subscribe here ! End 2017/early 2018, all major Western Central Banks will be putting a final stop to the 2008 crisis-related unconventional monetary policies, namely the famous quantitative easing policies (QEs) which enabled to provide liquidity to those banks which saw their mutual confidence for borrowing collapse ...

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Global Systemic Crisis / End of 2017: High turbulence zone! Finance – Freedom – Security – Kaliningrad: Avoid the Third World War now!

PUBLIC REVIEW of our monthly bulletin GEAB (October, 2017). Subscribe here ! More than three years after the Ukraine-related Euro-Russian catastrophe, there is no hope of an end to this crisis. On the contrary, the tension inexorably keeps climbing: Donbass still at war, annexation of Crimea by Russia not recognised by the international community,… ...

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Interview of Marie-Hélène Caillol: Political Anticipation of Global Systemic Crisis (by Hrvoje Moric for Guadalajara Geopolitics Institute)

Guadalajara Geopolitics Institute: “We are speaking with Marie-Hélène Caillol, the co-founder and president of LEAP the European laboratory of political anticipation which publishes the fantastic newsletter GEAB, Global Europe Anticipation Bulletin. Now, LEAP is a rarety in the world of think-tanks because you are independent and as neutral on objectives ...

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LEAP and our monthly bulletin GEAB in La Vanguardia!

“The far-right parties won’t reject or give up on Europe, because the EU concentrates the power, they will try to conquer this power […] A social Europe project could unite the transeuropean Left, but such a project is directly opposed to the current ultraliberal ideology of the institutionnal european system ...

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Global Systemic Crisis 2017-2021 – A phase of chaotic recomposition of the World: national re-landing, crash or rebound?

PUBLIC REVIEW of our monthly bulletin GEAB (April, 2017). Subscribe here ! This expression “chaotic recomposition” seems best to summarise the phase where we currently are with regards to the development of the crisis, a step indicated here as extending over four years and which will include distinct progression phases. It is quite clear ...

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