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Laboratoire Européen d´Anticipation Politique

Laboratoire Européen
d´Anticipation Politique

Connecting Europe to its citizens, the world and the future

<img174|left> [Civis Memoria*->http://www.civismemoria.fr/] has interviewed Franck Biancheri on the decisive role he played in the launching of the Erasmus programme in 1987. [The video of the interview (in French)->http://www.civismemoria.fr/contribution/?module=contrib&contrib=759] is now available online from their website. *CivisMemoria is a website recently created by historians and journalists in partnership with Historia, ...

Much is happening across the Arab World. Only today, for instance, many of us woke up to learn that Lebanon’s erstwhile protagonists had drawn back from the precipice by concluding an agreement in Qatar that shuns war and toils for peace. In this article, therefore, I would like to focus ...

Much is happening across the Arab World. Only today, for instance, many of us woke up to learn that Lebanon’s erstwhile protagonists had drawn back from the precipice by concluding an agreement in Qatar that shuns war and toils for peace. In this article, therefore, I would like to focus ...

{{4th quarter 2009 – Beginning of Phase 5 of the global systemic crisis: phase of global geopolitical dislocation}} Back in February 2006, LEAP/E2020 estimated that the global systemic crisis would unfold in 4 main structural phases: trigger, acceleration, impact and decanting phases. This process enabled us to properly anticipate events ...

{Israel’s position regarding its security demands, which entail undermining the sovereignty of a Palestinian state, narrows the chances for reaching an agreement.} {{Essence of Warning}} During negotiations with the Palestinians in 1999-2001, Israel presented a number of security demands that included, among other things, the demilitarization of the Palestinian state, ...

{{Global systemic crisis – End of 2008: Pension funds go off the rails }} By the end of 2008, a formidable debacle will affect pension funds all over the world, endangering the entire system of capital-based pensions. This financial calamity will bear a particularly dramatic human dimension because it will ...

{{Global systemic crisis / September 2008 – Phase of collapse of US real economy }} The end of the third quarter of 2008 will be marked by a new tipping point in the unfolding of the global systemic crisis. In the United States, this new tipping point will translate into ...

As LEAP/E2020 often unlined it since January 2006, the global systemic crisis affects all fields and sectors of contemporary human activity. It is in this sense that this crisis differs from a classical crisis limited to this or that sector/region. In this edition of the GlobalEurope Anticipation Bulletin, our team ...

{{2008: Full global impact phase of the Very Great US Depression}} From now to this summer in particular, the financial crisis triggered by the US subprime mortgage loans will turn into a much wider-ranging crisis involving the implosion of the Credit Default Swaps (CDS) market. This will represent a now ...

{Last September 16th, in the 17th issue of the GEAB, LEAP/E2020 predicted a difficult end of the year for France’s brand new president} More contextually but not less significantly, the new French president Nicolas Sarkozy’s arrival into the European game is becoming a source of enduring tensions in the EU. ...